Icon Bishop Consulting

Urban Energy Modelling

The ‘Pathways to net-zero' project was a multi-year (2022-2025) research project co-funded by MBIE, BRANZ, and the BIP, where I was the lead researcher. The project explored pathways to energy and emissions reductions for neighborhoods in different climates in New Zealand. To accurately assess the impact of technologies, a detailed minute resolution physics-based model was developed, representing a world-first in Urban Energy Modelling. The Urban Energy Model included bespoke developed models for:

  • Space heating and cooling (Building Energy Models)
  • Hot water heating
  • Household plug loads (incl. cooking loads)
  • Electric vehicle charging
  • Rooftop solar PV
  • Domestic batteries
To comprehensively assess a range of technological interventions (e.g. heat pumps for domestic hot water) the cumulative energy demand, cumulative carbon emissions, and neighborhood peak loads were assessed. The report is available here and the key figure demonstrating the effectiveness of different strategies may be viewed here

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Space and Hot Water Heating – thermal modeling

EECA commissioned a lifecycle analysis of space and water heating technologies, which I completed in collaboration with the Electrical Power Engineering Centre (EPEC) consulting arm of the University of Canterbury (2024-2025).

My role included calculating the operating performance of a range of space and hot water heating technologies, using a combination of bespoke developed physics-based models and standard-based empirical models. For a comprehensive assessment, the models included a high time resolution to enable the simulation of various control strategies and to evaluate any lost serviceability (aka cold showers). Altogether, over 5000 scenarios required simulation, requiring parallel processing.

Overall, the work provides detailed guidance for policy makers and individuals on the selection of space and hot water heating technologies. Read the full report here [AWAITING RELEASE].

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National Demand Flexibility Assessment

To address the important question of ‘how much demand flexibility is present in New Zealand?’ and ‘what loads should be targeted?’. A student and I developed a framework to characterize loads based on their source of demand flexibility. We then applied this framework on New Zealand, using the EECA developed Energy End-use Database (EEUD), to develop New Zealand specific figures and recommendations.

The analysis finds that up to 69% of New Zealand electricity demand is susceptible to demand flexibility. The paper was published in the world-class Energy Policy journal and is available to read here.

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National Energy System Modelling

What does a transition to electric vehicles mean for the national grid? Oversimplified analyses present a transition to electric vehicles as independent from changes to the national grid, assuming a constant emissions factor, despite a transition to electric vehicles requiring significant additional electricity demand and electricity supply build out. To assess the impact of a transition to electric vehicles holistically we assessed a transition to electric vehicles under several different grid and charging scenarios, assessing the cumulative emissions and build out costs to facilitate the EV uptake, all compared to a Business as usual (BAU) scenario to assess the cost of inaction.

To complete the analysis the New Zealand grid was modelled using the LEAP energy modelling package. Overall, the work is one of the most detailed of its kind. The work was published in the highly reputable journal Energy Reports and is available here.

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Hot Water Heating Demand Flexibility

Electric hot water heating presents an existing and underutilized method for demand response in New Zealand. Hence, better use of this resource is one of the most promising and lowest cost means to improve the performance of the New Zealand power system, decreasing peak loads and increasing the uptake of low-cost intermittent renewable energies.

I conducted a series of studies into this important topic:

⮕ The true energy storage availability for hot water cylinders was evaluated by considering stochastic usage profiles and predictive control

Results indicated the average storage available for demand side management from the use of this smart controller is predicted to be between 3.63 and 7.20 kWh per household. Read the full paper here.

⮕A range of existing and emerging controller types were investigated for their impact on peak demand and serviceability.

Smart-thermostat controller demonstrated the greatest efficacy of all the controllers assessed with significant reductions in peak demand without substantial losses in service. Additionally, smart-thermostat controllers demonstrate demand deferral and valley filling, shifting peak loads to times of lowest demand and smoothing load distribution. Read the full paper here.

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Lighting Design & Measurement

Lighting is a significant driver of energy usage but is also highly influential for the aesthetics and functionality of indoor environments. Despite this, lighting design has not kept up with the evolving use of indoor environments (the ubiquity of back-lit screens) or lighting measurement technology (low-cost imaging sensors). The result is that despite years of research and development, lighting design still follows an oversimplified illuminance design methodology.

This thesis argues for a movement away from illuminance design standards and towards luminance distribution targets, which includes the important feature of visual contrast and its variation across the field of view. To support this a practical new lighting methodology is developed from robust visual research and low-cost luminance imaging devices were developed to support the method.

For more details the full thesis can be found here, and journal publications detailing the new design method here, and development of a low-cost luminance imaging device here,.

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Energy Education

In 2021-2022 I developed and lectured a final year Energy Systems Engineering course (ENME405-605) to replace a departing staff member. The challenging course comprehensively covered energy from resources, conversion technologies, through to demands (buildings, transportation, and industry). The course has been retained and is still being taught today.

The new course achieved very high student evaluations 4.7 & 4.8 (/5). A couple student comments are captured below:

“Awesome class!! Thoroughly enjoyed it, thanks so much for all the effort put in, it was a stimulating and engaging course and I'm super glad I took it. Cheers!!”

“Great teacher and stimulated my interest massively”

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